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49ers vs. Chargers

Sports→Settlement: 49ersLiquidity: $795.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $930.9KEvent: 49ers vs. Chargers
100.0¢
49ers payout
0.0¢
Chargers payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:49ers · $101.4K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$104.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY49ers$99.0K@ 100¢·Sisyphus.

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome 49ers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If 49ers wins, the market will resolve to "49ers".

•If Chargers wins, the market will resolve to "Chargers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 20 at 10:00PM ET: If 49ers wins, the market will resolve to "49ers". If Chargers wins, the market will resolve to "Chargers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf3 linked markets · $139.3K gross
SunlineTicker2 linked markets · $20.1K gross
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $17.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Chargers@ 52.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -48.8pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 49ers; negative values favor Chargers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h49ers · $208.7K
6h49ers · $240.3K
24h49ers · $225.9K

49ers price VWAP

Volume-weighted 49ers price. Chargers fills are converted to the complementary 49ers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.1¢▲ above by 20.9pp
VWAP 7d79.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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49ers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$230.5K
90¢
$10.2K
85¢
$46.2K
80¢
$27.1K
75¢
$0
70¢
$1
65¢
$2.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$3
50¢
$22.2K
45¢
$113.9K
40¢
$28.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUY49ers$99.0K@ 99.9¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—3 days ago
BUY49ers$49.5K@ 99.0¢
mikesports0x7d92…8676
🐋—3 days ago
BUY49ers$49.5K@ 99.0¢
mikesports0x7d92…8676
🐋—3 days ago
BUY49ers$11.3K@ 99.0¢
omoi0i00xb3cf…0ebd
🐋—3 days ago
BUY49ers$11.5K@ 83.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—3 days ago
BUY49ers$12.4K@ 85.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—3 days ago
BUY49ers$28.1K@ 85.0¢
coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252
🐋—3 days ago
BUYChargers$10.0K@ 54.9¢
traderjoes010x9854…7a06
🐋—3 days ago
BUYChargers$25.2K@ 56.1¢
traderjoes010x9854…7a06
🐋—3 days ago
BUYChargers$20.0K@ 50.8¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—3 days ago
BUY49ers$10.1K@ 51.6¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sisyphus.49ers$99.0K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
mikesports49ers$99.0K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·2 fills
0x3dfb…abafChargers$40.4K
BUY VWAP 31.9¢·6 fills
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r49ers$35.8K
BUY VWAP 80.7¢·7 fills
traderjoes01Chargers$35.2K
BUY VWAP 55.7¢·2 fills
coinlaundry49ers$28.1K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiChargers$27.2K
BUY VWAP 53.8¢·51 fills
omoi0i049ers$19.0K
BUY VWAP 98.2¢·2 fills
Feromont49ers$17.5K
BUY VWAP 49.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.