Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

● quote 453 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 5 monthsLiquidity: $335.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $76.5KEvent: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
3.9¢
YES
96.1¢
NO
0.2¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:35 trades$71.4K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 93%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 545 min agoofficial metadata 457 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNO$104.5K@ 97¢·anoin123

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$26
tracked
$71.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$156 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.2¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 453 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 545 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 457 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
climax
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL NO@ 96.0¢23h ago
15m STALLED -0.2pp1h STALLED -0.2pp6h STALLED -0.2pp
LARGE FLOWSELL NO@ 96.0¢7d ago
15m STALLED -0.2pp1h STALLED -0.2pp6h STALLED -0.2pp24h STALLED -0.3pp
LARGE FLOWSELL NO@ 96.0¢8d ago
15m STALLED -0.2pp1h STALLED -0.2pp6h STALLED -0.3pp24h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWSELL NO@ 96.2¢9d ago
15m STALLED -0.2pp1h STALLED -0.2pp6h STALLED -0.3pp24h STALLED +0.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h$26
24h+$68.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.9¢
VWAP 24h3.9¢▲ above by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d3.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$641.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLNO$18.2K@ 95.9¢
anoin1230x9648…6825
🐋about 23 hours ago
SELLNO$35.8K@ 96.2¢
anoin1230x9648…6825
🐋about 23 hours ago
SELLNO$15.5K@ 96.3¢0xa18c…d792🐋about 23 hours ago
SELLNO$14.4K@ 96.0¢
anoin1230x9648…6825
🐋5 days ago
SELLNO$18.8K@ 96.0¢
anoin1230x9648…6825
🐋7 days ago
SELLNO$31.6K@ 96.2¢
anoin1230x9648…6825
🐋8 days ago
SELLNO$39.1K@ 96.3¢
anoin1230x9648…6825
🐋9 days ago
SELLNO$22.7K@ 96.4¢0xd06f…d4a6🐋11 days ago
SELLNO$85.2K@ 96.2¢
anoin1230x9648…6825
🐋12 days ago
SELLNO$104.5K@ 96.5¢
anoin1230x9648…6825
🐋13 days ago
SELLNO$28.2K@ 96.5¢
anoin1230x9648…6825
🐋14 days ago
SELLNO$10.6K@ 96.7¢0xc682…17bb🐋15 days ago
SELLNO$63.4K@ 96.7¢
anoin1230x9648…6825
🐋16 days ago
BUYNO$11.1K@ 96.5¢
AllByMyseIf0x5188…c804
🐋19 days ago