Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

Politics→Settlement: NOLiquidity: $30.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $96.3KEvent: Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $8.0K net·13 wallets(1🐋)·$24.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$12.9K@ 92¢·flawfence

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-20 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Read full resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
flawfence4 linked markets · $31.8K gross
kinderSman2 linked markets · $13.8K gross
Bigggggggg4 linked markets · $12.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPSELL NO@ 85.2¢7d ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.4pp1h INVALIDATED -3.9pp6h INVALIDATED -11.3pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolved

Signed Order Flow

1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $0
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$4.8K
10¢
$11.7K
5¢
$33.8K
0¢
← now
$33.6K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLNO$12.4K@ 94.2¢
flawfence0x23d8…0288
🐋—7 days ago
BUYNO$12.9K@ 91.6¢
flawfence0x23d8…0288
🐋—7 days ago
BUYNO$11.7K@ 89.7¢
flawfence0x23d8…0288
🐋—7 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kinderSmanNo$13.6K
BUY VWAP 98.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.