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Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 12 daysLiquidity: $89.4K24h Vol: $506.2K
0.9¢
YES
99.1¢
NO
99.9¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$15.8K@ 100¢·0x5602…1480

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$0
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$27.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$11.8K@ 99.9¢
dumbfuq-p0Iycantchangepfp0x0a54…4a03
🐋-0.9%17 days ago
NO$15.8K@ 99.5¢0x5602…1480🐋-0.5%18 days ago

Related Markets · Geopolitics

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
0.1¢$44.4M0
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
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Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
99.9¢$27.5M0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5.8¢$23.4M4
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
100.0¢$22.0M0
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity