PnL by Market (33)2 open31 closed
● open No · $22.0Kin $22.0Kunreal +$11
● open No · $4.9Kin $4.9Kunreal +$2
US government shutdown Saturday?
● closedin $26.3Kout $26.5K
New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?
● closedin $26.6Kout $26.7K
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
● closedin $2.0Kout $2.1K
● closedin $26.8Kout $26.9K
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
● closedin $26.5Kout $26.5K
● closedin $26.8Kout $26.9K
● closedin $26.8Kout $26.8K
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
● closedin $26.8Kout $26.8K
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
● closedin $26.7Kout $26.8K
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
● closedin $26.7Kout $26.7K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
● closedin $26.7Kout $26.7K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
● closedin $26.6Kout $26.7K
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
● closedin $26.3Kout $26.3K
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
● closedin $26.3Kout $26.3K
Will the US strike Somalia next?
● closedin $26.3Kout $26.3K
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
● closedin $26.1Kout $26.1K
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
● closedin $2.2Kout $2.2K
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
● closedin $23.6Kout $23.6K
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
● closedin $10.0Kout $10.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
● closedin $14.0Kout $14.0K
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?
● closedin $2.8Kout $2.8K
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
● closedin $2.7Kout $2.7K
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
● closedin $35out $35
● closedin $22.0Kout $22.0K
● closedin $26.8Kout $26.8K
● closedin $53.0Kout $53.0K
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
● closedin $26.7Kout $26.7K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
● closedin $26.7Kout $26.7K
● closedin $38.1Kout $38.1K
● closedin $40.6Kout $40.6K
● closedin $26.5Kout $26.5K
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? ●open No· $22.0K | $22.0K | $0 | +$11 | 1 | $-21967 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31? ●open No· $4.9K | $4.9K | $0 | +$2 | 1 | $-4892 |
US government shutdown Saturday? ● closed | $26.3K | $26.5K | — | 4 | +$144 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? ● closed | $26.6K | $26.7K | — | 2 | +$68 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? ● closed | $2.0K | $2.1K | — | 2 | +$56 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? ● closed | $26.8K | $26.9K | — | 1 | +$54 |
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? ● closed | $26.5K | $26.5K | — | 1 | +$53 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? ● closed | $26.8K | $26.9K | — | 24 | +$40 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? ● closed | $26.8K | $26.8K | — | 7 | $-27 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? ● closed | $26.8K | $26.8K | — | 1 | +$27 |
US strikes Iraq by March 7? ● closed | $26.7K | $26.8K | — | 15 | +$27 |
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026? ● closed | $26.7K | $26.7K | — | 1 | +$27 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $26.7K | $26.7K | — | 10 | +$27 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? ● closed | $26.6K | $26.7K | — | 1 | +$27 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? ● closed | $26.3K | $26.3K | — | 2 | $-26 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? ● closed | $26.3K | $26.3K | — | 1 | +$26 |
Will the US strike Somalia next? ● closed | $26.3K | $26.3K | — | 11 | +$26 |
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? ● closed | $26.1K | $26.1K | — | 19 | +$26 |
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? ● closed | $2.2K | $2.2K | — | 3 | +$24 |
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call? ● closed | $23.6K | $23.6K | — | 4 | +$24 |
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit? ● closed | $10.0K | $10.0K | — | 3 | +$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET ● closed | $14.0K | $14.0K | — | 19 | +$5 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $2.8K | $2.8K | — | 1 | +$3 |
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview? ● closed | $2.7K | $2.7K | — | 2 | +$3 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? ● closed | $35 | $35 | — | 1 | +$0 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ● closed | $22.0K | $22.0K | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $26.8K | $26.8K | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $53.0K | $53.0K | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $26.7K | $26.7K | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $26.7K | $26.7K | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $38.1K | $38.1K | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $40.6K | $40.6K | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $26.5K | $26.5K | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (2)
NO$22.0K@ 99.9¢Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?🐋about 22 hours ago
Trading Activity · 90d
2 active days
Category Accuracy
Politics
$233.8K0%0/7
Geopolitics
$48.8K100%1/1
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
1 betsunresolved0/0
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