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WTA Finals, Final Stage: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina

● quote 12 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $269.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $629.7KEvent: WTA Finals, Final Stage: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina

Polymarket indicative prices · 12 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Linda Noskova
99.95¢
Elina Svitolina
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets19Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:186 trades$249.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elina Svitolina · $16.5K net·14 wallets(2🐋)·$86.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElina Svitolina$18.8K@ 39¢·Kch-Temp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Elina Svitolina pressure: $19.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$19.3K
6h
−$39.7K
tracked
$249.8K

14 verified profitable wallets: Elina Svitolina · $16.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 12 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 32 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Elina Svitolina or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-21 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Linda Noskova and Elina Svitolina in the WTA Finals, Final Stage, originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linda Noskova' if Linda Noskova advances against Elina Svitolina. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Linda Noskova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh2 linked markets · $25.5K gross
0x6e9b…888f2 linked markets · $27 gross
0x765e…36dd2 linked markets · $16 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Elina Svitolina@ 40.0¢14h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Elina Svitolina UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $56.1K → $91.6K · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Linda Noskova; negative values favor Elina Svitolina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElina Svitolina · $19.3K
6hElina Svitolina · $39.7K
24hElina Svitolina · $60.6K

Linda Noskova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Linda Noskova price. Elina Svitolina fills are converted to the complementary Linda Noskova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h40.27¢▼ below by 40.2pp
VWAP 7d40.27¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Linda Noskova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$5.8K
65¢
$32.0K
60¢
$80.0K
55¢
$12.5K
50¢
$1.7K
45¢
$1.8K
40¢
$96
35¢
$100
30¢
$33.4K
25¢
$11.5K
20¢
$3.8K
15¢
$44
10¢
$5.1K
5¢
$8.6K
0¢
← now
$53.2K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLinda Noskova$13.7K@ 60.0¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYElina Svitolina$18.8K@ 39.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—about 14 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Linda Noskova (-1.5) vs Elina Svitolina (+1.5)
—$4.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina
—$2.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Noskova vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 23.5
—$300priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Noskova vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 22.5
—$276priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Elina Svitolina (-1.5) vs Linda Noskova (+1.5)
—$107priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Noskova vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5
—$86priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Linda Noskova vs. Elina Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$55priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
99.95¢$8.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MadridTimeElina Svitolina$34.3K
BUY VWAP 69.48¢·9 fills
Kch-TempElina Svitolina$18.8K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
keeptheblueflagflyinghighLinda Noskova$16.3K
BUY VWAP 61.01¢·2 fills
LimousinElina Svitolina$13.8K
BUY VWAP 79.55¢·5 fills
VenusianElina Svitolina$13.7K
BUY VWAP 79.83¢·5 fills
0xe26c…3bfeLinda Noskova$10.1K
BUY VWAP 69.00¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.