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Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Daniel Altmaier

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $176.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $146.2KEvent: Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Daniel Altmaier

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

5.5¢
Zsombor Piros
94.5¢
Daniel Altmaier
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets75Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 91%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:60 trades$90.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 62%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 46s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Zsombor Piros · $10.8K net·7 wallets·$14.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYZsombor Piros$11.1K@ 43¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Zsombor Piros SETUP
What the tape says

Zsombor Piros pressure: $6.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.2K
6h
+$17.1K
tracked
$90.7K

7 verified profitable wallets: Zsombor Piros · $10.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 91% · priority 63

Since latest large flow: +2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Zsombor Piros or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-20 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Zsombor Piros and Daniel Altmaier in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zsombor Piros' if Zsombor Piros advances against Daniel Altmaier. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Zsombor Piros. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Daniel Altmaier@ 96.0¢3m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Daniel Altmaier12m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Daniel Altmaier@ 86.0¢18m ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Zsombor Piros@ 42.0¢39m ago
15m INVALIDATED -29.0pp
Latest book event: Zsombor Piros DOWN 8.0pp · near-book depth $223 → $228 · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Zsombor Piros; negative values favor Daniel Altmaier. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hZsombor Piros · $6.2K
6hZsombor Piros · $17.1K
24hZsombor Piros · $17.1K

Zsombor Piros price VWAP

Volume-weighted Zsombor Piros price. Daniel Altmaier fills are converted to the complementary Zsombor Piros probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current5.5¢
VWAP 24h25.57¢▼ below by 20.1pp
VWAP 7d25.57¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Zsombor Piros price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$10.7K
40¢
$23.7K
35¢
$3.1K
30¢
$2.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$20.2K
10¢
$15.4K
5¢
← now
$15.0K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYZsombor Piros$11.1K@ 43.39¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Daniel Altmaier (-1.5) vs Zsombor Piros (+1.5)
50.0¢$3.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Zsombor Piros vs Daniel Altmaier
0.05¢$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zsombor Piros vs. Daniel Altmaier: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Zsombor Piros vs Daniel Altmaier
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Piros vs. Altmaier: Match O/U 21.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Daniel Altmaier (-1.5) vs Zsombor Piros (+1.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Piros vs. Altmaier: Match O/U 23.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Piros vs. Altmaier: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HVABDaniel Altmaier$21.6K
BUY VWAP 84.91¢·4 fills
kkookkooZsombor Piros$18.1K
BUY VWAP 44.16¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.