PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $42.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $170.2KEvent: Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

51.5¢
1win
48.5¢
Froglings
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection75Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution64Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority84Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:103 trades$87.1K trackedsource coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Froglings · $26.1K net·5 wallets·$26.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFroglings$7.2K@ 58¢·GeorgeRe

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Froglings SETUP
What the tape says

Froglings pressure: $64.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$64.4K
6h
−$67.9K
tracked
$87.1K

5 verified profitable wallets: Froglings · $26.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 84

Since latest large flow: -23.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Froglings or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 04:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 2 against Froglings.

•This market will resolve to "Froglings" if Froglings win Game 2 against 1win.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between 1win and Froglings in the 1win Essence Group D, initially scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 2 against Froglings. This market will resolve to "Froglings" if Froglings win Game 2 against 1win. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 1h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 5h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 7h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $68.2K gross
0xf3ce…a57a2 linked markets · $40.1K gross
GeorgeRe2 linked markets · $13.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Froglings@ 72.0¢11m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Froglings UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $767 → $3.5K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 1win; negative values favor Froglings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFroglings · $64.4K
6hFroglings · $67.9K
24hFroglings · $67.9K

1win price VWAP

Volume-weighted 1win price. Froglings fills are converted to the complementary 1win probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h40.21¢▲ above by 11.3pp
VWAP 7d40.21¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

1win price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$50
50¢
← now
$9.5K
45¢
$17.7K
40¢
$20.0K
35¢
$10.6K
30¢
$24.2K
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
$3.9K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings - Game 1 Winner
99.95¢$584.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
66.0¢$156.8Kpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: 1W (-1.5) vs Froglings (+1.5)
37.0¢$115priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
63.5¢$51priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: Froglings (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)
0.05¢$38priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
99.95¢$8.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
71.5¢$7.0Mpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner
99.95¢$4.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf3ce…a57aFroglings$22.8K
BUY VWAP 66.61¢·6 fills
0xe16d…5e30Froglings$18.5K
BUY VWAP 51.11¢·15 fills
GeorgeReFroglings$10.5K
BUY VWAP 57.88¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.