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Spread: 76ers (-7.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 5 minutesLiquidity: $1.6MOfficial 24h Vol: $434.7KEvent: Raptors vs. 76ers

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

48.5¢
76ers
51.5¢
Raptors
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets59Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 92%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:81 trades$287.7K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 66%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:76ers · $51.0K net·6 wallets(2🐋)·$86.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRaptors$35.3K@ 51¢·mooseborzoi

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Raptors SETUP
What the tape says

Raptors pressure: $11.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.1K
6h
−$17.1K
tracked
$287.7K

6 verified profitable wallets: 76ers · $51.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 92% · priority 59

Since latest position change: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Raptors or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-13 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "76ers" if the 76ers win the game by 8 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Raptors and 76ers, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "76ers" if the 76ers win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi11 linked markets · $475.2K gross
VeryLucky8888 linked markets · $220.7K gross
quavoo11 linked markets · $158.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Raptors@ 51.0¢9m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Raptors@ 51.0¢12m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Raptors@ 51.0¢15m ago
Outcome checks pending
PROVEN EARLY MOVERBUY 76ers@ 51.0¢23m ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 76ers; negative values favor Raptors. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRaptors · $11.1K
6hRaptors · $17.1K
24h76ers · $21.6K

76ers price VWAP

Volume-weighted 76ers price. Raptors fills are converted to the complementary 76ers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h50.16¢▼ below by 1.7pp
VWAP 7d50.16¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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76ers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.9K
55¢
$1.8K
50¢
$93.2K
45¢
← now
$190.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRaptors$11.2K@ 52.0¢
dl8805270x0207…75e5
🐋—4 minutes ago
BUYRaptors$10.8K@ 51.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—13 minutes ago
BUYRaptors$35.3K@ 51.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—14 minutes ago
SELL76ers$13.8K@ 47.66¢
bwgringo0x54ce…9f80
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUY76ers$12.2K@ 52.0¢
bwgringo0x54ce…9f80
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUY76ers$17.1K@ 49.0¢
VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUY76ers$27.1K@ 54.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 8 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Raptors vs. 76ers
28.5¢$1.6Mpriority69Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
45.5¢$335.5Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
47.5¢$272.2Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
53.5¢$199.1Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
41.5¢$128.5Kpriority42Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
39.5¢$52.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
53.5¢$33.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
37.5¢$18.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiRaptors$80.6K
BUY VWAP 50.79¢·9 fills
quavoo76ers$57.1K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·20 fills
VeryLucky88876ers$33.2K
BUY VWAP 50.18¢·3 fills
0x2c33…056376ers$28.9K
BUY VWAP 53.73¢·2 fills
bwgringo76ers$15.0K
BUY VWAP 51.99¢·2 fills
VeryLucky888Raptors$11.4K
BUY VWAP 46.95¢·2 fills
dl880527Raptors$11.2K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.