Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)

● quote 10s ago

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $53.4KEvent: Mavericks vs. Timberwolves

Indicative prices · 10s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

52.5¢

Timberwolves

47.5¢

Mavericks

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection55Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:19 trades$47.5K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 89%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTimberwolves$26.2K@ 53¢·0xf559…f462

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Timberwolves SETUP

What the tape says

Timberwolves pressure: $26.2K net directional flow in 1h.

+$26.2K

+$21.4K

tracked

$47.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: Mavericks · $14.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 61

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Timberwolves or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-13 01:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Timberwolves" if the Timberwolves win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Mavericks and Timberwolves, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Timberwolves" if the Timberwolves win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh2 linked markets · $19.8K gross

mooseborzoi7 linked markets · $8.8K gross

JoeyAroyyOO2 linked markets · $5.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Timberwolves@ 53.0¢3m ago

Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Timberwolves; negative values favor Mavericks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hTimberwolves · $26.2K

6hTimberwolves · $21.4K

24hTimberwolves · $7.8K

Timberwolves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Timberwolves price. Mavericks fills are converted to the complementary Timberwolves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current52.5¢

VWAP 24h52.58¢▼ below by 0.1pp

VWAP 7d52.58¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Timberwolves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

50¢

← now

$47.5K

45¢

40¢

35¢

30¢

25¢

20¢

15¢

10¢

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

Loading trades…

🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

BUYTimberwolves$26.2K@ 53.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—12 minutes ago

BUYMavericks$14.9K@ 48.0¢

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98

🐋—about 9 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves

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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5

53.5¢$19.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

47.5¢$18.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5

46.5¢$16.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5

51.5¢$11.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5

43.5¢$4.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)

40.5¢$2.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf559…f462Timberwolves$26.2K

BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

keeptheblueflagflyinghighMavericks$14.9K

BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.