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Spread: Panthers (-1.5)

● quote 314 min ago
Sports→HockeyCloses: 30 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $4.9KEvent: Red Wings vs. Panthers

Indicative prices · 314 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

37.5¢
Panthers
62.5¢
Red Wings
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection71Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%
24h sample:8 trades$1.2K trackedsource coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 41 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRed Wings$1.0K@ 60¢·flaviocaballero2233

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$834
6h
−$829
tracked
$1.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 314 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 41 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-13 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Panthers" if the Panthers win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Red Wings".

Read full resolution rules

In the NHL game, scheduled for November 12 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Panthers" if the Panthers win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi4 linked markets · $11.0K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $7.9K gross
0xdd3b…cea62 linked markets · $30 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Panthers; negative values favor Red Wings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRed Wings · $834
6hRed Wings · $829
24hRed Wings · $839

Panthers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Panthers price. Red Wings fills are converted to the complementary Panthers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current37.5¢
VWAP 24h39.69¢▼ below by 2.2pp
VWAP 7d39.69¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Panthers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$1.0K
35¢
← now
$181
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Spread: Panthers (-2.5)
26.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Red Wings (-2.5)
12.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.