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Spread: Devils (-1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→HockeyCloses: 1 minuteLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $35.6KEvent: Capitals vs. Devils

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

35.5¢
Devils
64.5¢
Capitals
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$18.2K tracked20% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCapitals$16.2K@ 64¢·keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Capitals pressure: $2.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.0K
6h
−$2.0K
tracked
$18.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Capitals · $16.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 42 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Capitals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-13 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Devils" if the Devils win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Capitals".

Read full resolution rules

In the NHL game, scheduled for November 12 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Devils" if the Devils win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Capitals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $663 gross
0x1736…688c2 linked markets · $16 gross
0x1277…24fc2 linked markets · $13 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Capitals@ 64.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Devils; negative values favor Capitals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCapitals · $2.0K
6hCapitals · $2.0K
24hCapitals · $18.2K

Devils price VWAP

Volume-weighted Devils price. Capitals fills are converted to the complementary Devils probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current35.5¢
VWAP 24h35.89¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d35.89¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Devils price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$18.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCapitals$16.2K@ 64.0¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Capitals vs. Devils
41.5¢$148.0Kpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
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Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 8.5
17.5¢$146priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Capitals (-3.5)
5.15¢$132priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 4.5
79.0¢$118priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5
45.5¢$108priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Capitals (-2.5)
13.5¢$99priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 9.5
8.0¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCapitals$16.2K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.