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Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 10 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $50.7KEvent: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A

Indicative prices · 1 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

39.5¢
Vitality
60.5¢
FURIA
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection24Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:65 trades$26.6K trackedsource coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FURIA · $22.9K net·2 wallets·$23.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFURIA$4.1K@ 61¢·0xc9bf…81c0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

FURIA pressure: $6.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.3K
6h
−$20.0K
tracked
$26.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: FURIA · $22.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 24 minutes old.
  • •Less than 10h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FURIA or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 10:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality wins 2 or more maps than FURIA in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FURIA".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between FURIA and Vitality in the BLAST Rivals Group A, initially scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality wins 2 or more maps than FURIA in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FURIA". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 11, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc9bf…81c02 linked markets · $46.9K gross
0xa142…caf62 linked markets · $382 gross
0x2e32…1b5d2 linked markets · $160 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vitality; negative values favor FURIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFURIA · $6.3K
6hFURIA · $20.0K
24hFURIA · $26.2K

Vitality price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vitality price. FURIA fills are converted to the complementary Vitality probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current39.5¢
VWAP 24h38.87¢▲ above by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d38.87¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vitality price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$2
35¢
← now
$26.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
31.5¢$163.6Kpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xc9bf…81c0FURIA$23.1K
BUY VWAP 61.14¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.