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Spread: Celtics (-7.5)

● quote 28s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 11 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $17.1KEvent: Celtics vs. Raptors

Indicative prices · 28s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

47.5¢
Celtics
52.5¢
Raptors
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection35Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 81%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$11.1K trackedsource coverage 65%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRaptors$5.9K@ 51¢·basementdweller3000

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Raptors pressure: $3.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.9K
6h
−$8.5K
tracked
$11.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: Celtics · $1.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 81% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.
  • •Less than 11h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Raptors or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 8 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Celtics and Raptors, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
basementdweller30002 linked markets · $14.0K gross
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $4.1K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $349 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Celtics; negative values favor Raptors. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRaptors · $3.9K
6hRaptors · $8.5K
24hRaptors · $8.5K

Celtics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Celtics price. Raptors fills are converted to the complementary Celtics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h48.83¢▼ below by 1.3pp
VWAP 7d48.83¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Celtics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$11.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.