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Monastir: Jay Clarke vs Pedro Vives Marcos

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $12.9KEvent: Monastir: Jay Clarke vs Pedro Vives Marcos

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

8.5¢
Jay Clarke
91.5¢
Pedro Vives Marcos
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection79Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:14 trades$5.8K trackedsource coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJay Clarke$4.1K@ 57¢·0xf12f…b30f

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Jay Clarke SETUP
What the tape says

Jay Clarke pressure: $4.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.5K
6h
+$4.5K
tracked
$5.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: Pedro Vives Marcos · $102 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 68

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jay Clarke or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-18 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Clarke and Pedro Vives Marcos in the Monastir, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Clarke' if Jay Clarke advances against Pedro Vives Marcos. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vives Marcos' if Pedro Vives Marcos advances against Jay Clarke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jay Clarke; negative values favor Pedro Vives Marcos. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJay Clarke · $4.5K
6hJay Clarke · $4.5K
24hJay Clarke · $4.5K

Jay Clarke price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jay Clarke price. Pedro Vives Marcos fills are converted to the complementary Jay Clarke probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current8.5¢
VWAP 24h46.59¢▼ below by 38.1pp
VWAP 7d46.59¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jay Clarke price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$4.1K
50¢
$0
45¢
$14
40¢
$3
35¢
$0
30¢
$108
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$269
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 1 Winner: Jay Clarke vs Pedro Vives Marcos
0.05¢$40priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Jay Clarke vs Pedro Vives Marcos
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Clarke vs. Marcos: Match O/U 23.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Clarke vs. Marcos: Match O/U 21.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Jay Clarke (-2.5) vs Pedro Vives Marcos (+2.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Clarke vs. Marcos: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Jay Clarke (-1.5) vs Pedro Vives Marcos (+1.5)
0.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jay Clarke vs. Pedro Vives Marcos: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.