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Hersonissos 3: Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle

● quote 171 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $149.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $188.0KEvent: Hersonissos 3: Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle

Indicative prices · 171 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

1.0¢
Robin Bertrand
99.9¢
Henry Searle
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets61Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:60 trades$151.2K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 80%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 183 min agoofficial metadata 168 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Robin Bertrand · $71.2K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$116.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHenry Searle$48.0K@ 100¢·Woaifacai

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$68.8K
tracked
$151.2K

5 verified profitable wallets: Robin Bertrand · $71.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 70% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +11.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 171 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 183 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 168 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-18 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Robin Bertrand and Henry Searle in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Robin Bertrand' if Robin Bertrand advances against Henry Searle. This market will resolve to 'Henry Searle' if Henry Searle advances against Robin Bertrand. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Henry Searle4h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Henry Searle@ 89.0¢4h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Henry Searle UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $40.1K → $15.6K · 33s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Robin Bertrand; negative values favor Henry Searle. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRobin Bertrand · $0
6hRobin Bertrand · $68.8K
24hRobin Bertrand · $68.8K

Robin Bertrand price VWAP

Volume-weighted Robin Bertrand price. Henry Searle fills are converted to the complementary Robin Bertrand probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h2.62¢▼ below by 1.6pp
VWAP 7d2.62¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Robin Bertrand price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$3
25¢
$1.6K
20¢
$0
15¢
$10
10¢
$27.8K
5¢
$2.3K
0¢
← now
$119.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLHenry Searle$48.0K@ 99.9¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 3 hours ago
SELLHenry Searle$39.2K@ 99.9¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 3 hours ago
SELLHenry Searle$10.3K@ 99.9¢
Wizardsigma0xe764…44ab
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYHenry Searle$10.2K@ 89.94¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Robin Bertrand vs. Henry Searle: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$115priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bertrand vs. Searle: Match O/U 21.5
—$32priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Henry Searle (-3.5) vs Robin Bertrand (+3.5)
—$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bertrand vs. Searle: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bertrand vs. Searle: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Henry Searle (-1.5) vs Robin Bertrand (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
1.25¢$2.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WoaifacaiHenry Searle$19.2K
BUY VWAP 89.97¢·2 fills
WizardsigmaHenry Searle$10.0K
BUY VWAP 97.30¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.