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Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $541.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $147.6KEvent: Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Hugo Grenier
99.95¢
Kyrian Jacquet
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection45Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:63 trades$68.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kyrian Jacquet · $13.5K net·8 wallets·$13.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKyrian Jacquet$13.0K@ 87¢·HVAB

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Kyrian Jacquet pressure: $31.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$31.0K
6h
−$47.8K
tracked
$68.4K

8 verified profitable wallets: Kyrian Jacquet · $13.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Kyrian Jacquet or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-17 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Kyrian Jacquet in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Kyrian Jacquet. This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Hugo Grenier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $51 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Hugo Grenier DOWN 11.5pp · near-book depth $184 → $3 · 57s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hugo Grenier; negative values favor Kyrian Jacquet. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKyrian Jacquet · $31.0K
6hKyrian Jacquet · $47.8K
24hKyrian Jacquet · $47.9K

Hugo Grenier price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hugo Grenier price. Kyrian Jacquet fills are converted to the complementary Hugo Grenier probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h12.0¢▼ below by 11.9pp
VWAP 7d12.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hugo Grenier price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$235
25¢
$44
20¢
$2.2K
15¢
$9.9K
10¢
$38.9K
5¢
$17.1K
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKyrian Jacquet$13.0K@ 87.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Kyrian Jacquet (-1.5) vs Hugo Grenier (+1.5)
—$447priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Kyrian Jacquet (-4.5) vs Hugo Grenier (+4.5)
—$16priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hugo Grenier vs. Kyrian Jacquet: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Grenier vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Grenier vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Grenier vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana
16.5¢$577.8Kpriority81Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HVABKyrian Jacquet$13.0K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.