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Spread: Blues (-1.5)

● quote 29s ago
Sports→HockeyCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $46.5KEvent: Red Wings vs. Blues

Indicative prices · 29s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

34.5¢
Blues
65.5¢
Red Wings
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection92Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3 trades$26.2K tracked33% 🐋source coverage 56%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRed Wings$24.2K@ 65¢·keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Red Wings pressure: $24.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$24.2K
6h
−$22.2K
tracked
$26.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Red Wings · $24.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 60 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Red Wings or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Blues" if the Blues win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Red Wings".

Read full resolution rules

In the NHL game, scheduled for November 10 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Blues" if the Blues win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh2 linked markets · $44.6K gross
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $10.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Red Wings@ 66.0¢32m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Blues; negative values favor Red Wings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRed Wings · $24.2K
6hRed Wings · $22.2K
24hRed Wings · $22.2K

Blues price VWAP

Volume-weighted Blues price. Red Wings fills are converted to the complementary Blues probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current34.5¢
VWAP 24h35.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d35.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Blues price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$26.2K
30¢
← now
$48
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRed Wings$24.2K@ 65.0¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

keeptheblueflagflyinghighRed Wings$24.2K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.