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Sopo: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $13.5KEvent: Sopo: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

16.5¢
Laura Samson
83.5¢
Carolina M. Alves
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution49Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:32 trades$1.9K trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Carolina M. Alves · $75 net·2 wallets·$75 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLaura Samson$1.2K@ 78¢·tomcar2800

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$407
6h
−$1.5K
tracked
$1.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: Carolina M. Alves · $75 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-17 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Samson and Carolina M. Alves in the Sopo, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Samson' if Laura Samson advances against Carolina M. Alves. This market will resolve to 'Carolina M. Alves' if Carolina M. Alves advances against Laura Samson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Laura Samson DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $22 → $14.5K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Laura Samson; negative values favor Carolina M. Alves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCarolina M. Alves · $407
6hCarolina M. Alves · $1.5K
24hCarolina M. Alves · $1.5K

Laura Samson price VWAP

Volume-weighted Laura Samson price. Carolina M. Alves fills are converted to the complementary Laura Samson probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current16.5¢
VWAP 24h67.7¢▼ below by 51.2pp
VWAP 7d67.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Laura Samson price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1
75¢
$1.2K
70¢
$35
65¢
$3
60¢
$104
55¢
$9
50¢
$111
45¢
$89
40¢
$305
35¢
$6
30¢
$25
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 1 Winner: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves
0.05¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Laura Samson (-1.5) vs Carolina M. Alves (+1.5)
0.45¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Samson vs. Alves: Match O/U 21.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Carolina M. Alves (-1.5) vs Laura Samson (+1.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Samson vs. Alves: Match O/U 23.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Laura Samson vs. Carolina M. Alves: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Samson vs. Alves: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.