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Knoxville: Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $42.6KEvent: Knoxville: Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Aidan Mayo
99.95¢
Michael Mmoh
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection53Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:35 trades$16.3K trackedsource coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMichael Mmoh$9.1K@ 97¢·0xe1c0…ecf1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Aidan Mayo pressure: $8.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$8.6K
6h
+$7.5K
tracked
$16.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Aidan Mayo · $47 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Aidan Mayo or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-16 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aidan Mayo and Michael Mmoh in the Knoxville, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Mayo' if Aidan Mayo advances against Michael Mmoh. This market will resolve to 'Michael Mmoh' if Michael Mmoh advances against Aidan Mayo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Aidan Mayo DOWN 4.8pp · near-book depth $5.2K → $38 · 25s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aidan Mayo; negative values favor Michael Mmoh. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAidan Mayo · $8.6K
6hAidan Mayo · $7.5K
24hAidan Mayo · $7.4K

Aidan Mayo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aidan Mayo price. Michael Mmoh fills are converted to the complementary Aidan Mayo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h25.78¢▼ below by 25.7pp
VWAP 7d25.84¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aidan Mayo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$41
60¢
$6.1K
55¢
$6
50¢
$120
45¢
$0
40¢
$120
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$1
5¢
$511
0¢
← now
$9.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Michael Mmoh (-1.5) vs Aidan Mayo (+1.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Aidan Mayo vs. Michael Mmoh: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mayo vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mayo vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 23.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mayo vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 21.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Aidan Mayo (-0.5) vs Michael Mmoh (+0.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana
16.5¢$577.8Kpriority81Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.