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Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

● quote 22s ago
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 12 hoursLiquidity: $399.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $169.9KEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Indicative prices · 22s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

65.5¢
Gen.G
34.5¢
Invictus Gaming
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:40 trades$46.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 33 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Invictus Gaming · $4.9K net·2 wallets·$4.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInvictus Gaming$14.6K@ 34¢·LlamaEnjoyer

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Gen.G pressure: $3.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.1K
6h
−$19.5K
tracked
$46.5K

2 verified profitable wallets: Invictus Gaming · $4.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 33 minutes old.
  • •Less than 12h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Gen.G or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G wins 2 or more games than Invictus Gaming in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between Invictus Gaming and Gen.G in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G wins 2 or more games than Invictus Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9e3e…f8825 linked markets · $15.0K gross
NiK0k0k0k4 linked markets · $12.5K gross
0x6918…782b4 linked markets · $6.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gen.G; negative values favor Invictus Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGen.G · $3.1K
6hInvictus Gaming · $19.5K
24hInvictus Gaming · $26.9K

Gen.G price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gen.G price. Invictus Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Gen.G probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current65.5¢
VWAP 24h65.94¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d65.82¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gen.G price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$52.8K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYInvictus Gaming$14.6K@ 34.0¢
LlamaEnjoyer0x9b97…5e12
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
19.5¢$882.9Kpriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)
35.5¢$299.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
61.5¢$50.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner
28.5¢$35.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
29.5¢$28.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
28.5¢$24.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
25.5¢$448priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
37.5¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

LlamaEnjoyerInvictus Gaming$14.6K
BUY VWAP 34.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.