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Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello

● quote 924 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $132.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $416.6KEvent: Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello

Indicative prices · 924 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.1¢
Leolia Jeanjean
99.9¢
Alice Tubello
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:105 trades$181.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 949 min agoofficial metadata 924 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alice Tubello · $54.5K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$54.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlice Tubello$20.0K@ 69¢·TennisAce1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$181.9K

10 verified profitable wallets: Alice Tubello · $54.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 924 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 949 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 924 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Leolia Jeanjean and Alice Tubello in the Cali, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leolia Jeanjean' if Leolia Jeanjean advances against Alice Tubello. This market will resolve to 'Alice Tubello' if Alice Tubello advances against Leolia Jeanjean. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Alice Tubello16h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Alice Tubello@ 82.0¢16h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Alice Tubello16h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Alice Tubello@ 73.0¢16h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Leolia Jeanjean DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $10.9K → $1.5K · 21s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Leolia Jeanjean; negative values favor Alice Tubello. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLeolia Jeanjean · $0
6hLeolia Jeanjean · $0
24hAlice Tubello · $87.5K

Leolia Jeanjean price VWAP

Volume-weighted Leolia Jeanjean price. Alice Tubello fills are converted to the complementary Leolia Jeanjean probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h21.77¢▼ below by 21.7pp
VWAP 7d22.03¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Leolia Jeanjean price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$2.3K
40¢
$2
35¢
$16.7K
30¢
$35.8K
25¢
$28.1K
20¢
$41.8K
15¢
$25.9K
10¢
$1.9K
5¢
$2.9K
0¢
← now
$28.7K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlice Tubello$12.5K@ 99.9¢0xafef…f50e🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYAlice Tubello$20.0K@ 68.64¢
TennisAce10xa3e1…2b3b
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYAlice Tubello$13.7K@ 79.28¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 16 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Jeanjean vs. Tubello: Match O/U 22.5
—$11priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jeanjean vs. Tubello: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jeanjean vs. Tubello: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jeanjean vs. Tubello: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jeanjean vs. Tubello: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jeanjean vs. Tubello: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jeanjean vs. Tubello: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jeanjean vs. Tubello: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

TennisAce1Alice Tubello$25.6K
BUY VWAP 68.64¢·4 fills
kkookkooAlice Tubello$19.3K
BUY VWAP 76.28¢·4 fills
0x076d…8d4cAlice Tubello$17.4K
BUY VWAP 76.70¢·4 fills
kkookkooLeolia Jeanjean$14.0K
BUY VWAP 31.88¢·2 fills
esticamosAlice Tubello$13.6K
BUY VWAP 81.78¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.