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Set Handicap: Maria Sakkari (-1.5) vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Maria SakkariLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
100.0¢
Maria Sakkari payout
0.0¢
Aliaksandra Sasnovich payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Maria Sakkari. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-13 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Maria Sakkari" if Maria Sakkari wins by 2 or more sets than Aliaksandra Sasnovich, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Aliaksandra Sasnovich."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Maria Sakkari can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Aliaksandra Sasnovich."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sakkari and Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Maria Sakkari" if Maria Sakkari wins by 2 or more sets than Aliaksandra Sasnovich, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Aliaksandra Sasnovich." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Maria Sakkari can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Aliaksandra Sasnovich." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
DCAAA2 linked markets · $33 gross
0x61e2…6f022 linked markets · $2 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maria Sakkari; negative values favor Aliaksandra Sasnovich. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaria Sakkari · $0
6hMaria Sakkari · $0
24hMaria Sakkari · $0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maria Sakkari price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
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$41
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$15
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10¢
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5¢
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VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sasnovich vs. Sakkari: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.