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Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $15.2KEvent: Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

40.5¢
Adrian Andreev
59.5¢
Matteo Martineau
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection67Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets95Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority80Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:36 trades$5.9K trackedsource coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adrian Andreev · $879 net·6 wallets·$923 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMatteo Martineau$4.1K@ 49¢·Oleocanthal

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Matteo Martineau SETUP
What the tape says

Matteo Martineau pressure: $4.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.0K
6h
−$3.1K
tracked
$5.9K

6 verified profitable wallets: Adrian Andreev · $879 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 80

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Matteo Martineau or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Andreev and Matteo Martineau in the Taranto, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Andreev' if Adrian Andreev advances against Matteo Martineau. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Adrian Andreev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Adrian Andreev DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $27.3K → $3.1K · 49s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adrian Andreev; negative values favor Matteo Martineau. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatteo Martineau · $4.0K
6hMatteo Martineau · $3.1K
24hMatteo Martineau · $3.1K

Adrian Andreev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adrian Andreev price. Matteo Martineau fills are converted to the complementary Adrian Andreev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current40.5¢
VWAP 24h51.79¢▼ below by 11.3pp
VWAP 7d51.79¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Adrian Andreev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$9
60¢
$11
55¢
$526
50¢
$5.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$58
35¢
$20
30¢
$64
25¢
$0
20¢
$1
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Andreev vs. Martineau: Match O/U 22.5
99.75¢$21priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Andreev vs. Martineau: Match O/U 21.5
99.55¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Adrian Andreev vs. Matteo Martineau: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Andreev vs. Martineau: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Andreev vs. Martineau: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Andreev vs. Martineau: Match O/U 23.5
99.55¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Matteo Martineau (-1.5) vs Adrian Andreev (+1.5)
0.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.