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Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $186.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $296.9KEvent: Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

72.5¢
Mai Hontama
27.5¢
Zhibek Kulambayeva
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection32Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets88Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority74Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:102 trades$123.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mai Hontama · $76.2K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$86.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMai Hontama$18.4K@ 51¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Mai Hontama SETUP
What the tape says

Mai Hontama pressure: $39.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$39.3K
6h
+$63.6K
tracked
$123.6K

9 verified profitable wallets: Mai Hontama · $76.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 74

Since latest large flow: +8.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Mai Hontama or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mai Hontama and Zhibek Kulambayeva in the Chennai Open, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mai Hontama' if Mai Hontama advances against Zhibek Kulambayeva. This market will resolve to 'Zhibek Kulambayeva' if Zhibek Kulambayeva advances against Mai Hontama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Mai Hontama@ 65.0¢34m ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Mai Hontama@ 63.0¢37m ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Mai Hontama1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Mai Hontama@ 53.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +15.0pp
Latest book event: Mai Hontama DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $14.6K → $4.1K · 44s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mai Hontama; negative values favor Zhibek Kulambayeva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMai Hontama · $39.3K
6hMai Hontama · $63.6K
24hMai Hontama · $63.6K

Mai Hontama price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mai Hontama price. Zhibek Kulambayeva fills are converted to the complementary Mai Hontama probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current72.5¢
VWAP 24h58.34¢▲ above by 14.2pp
VWAP 7d58.34¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mai Hontama price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$38
75¢
$1.6K
70¢
← now
$14.6K
65¢
$14.6K
60¢
$13.1K
55¢
$32.2K
50¢
$33.3K
45¢
$14.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMai Hontama$12.3K@ 49.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYMai Hontama$18.4K@ 51.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—42 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Mai Hontama (-5.5) vs Zhibek Kulambayeva (+5.5)
50.0¢$8.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hontama vs. Kulambayeva: Match O/U 21.5
99.5¢$39priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
85.0¢$26priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mai Hontama vs. Zhibek Kulambayeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5
86.0¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hontama vs. Kulambayeva: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hontama vs. Kulambayeva: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hontama vs. Kulambayeva: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hontama vs. Kulambayeva: Match O/U 23.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Mai Hontama$76.4K
BUY VWAP 55.36¢·13 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.