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Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

● quote 10s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $32.2KEvent: Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

Indicative prices · 10s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

49.5¢
Philip Henning
50.5¢
Carlo Alberto Caniato
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection20Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets79Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$4.5K trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Carlo Alberto Caniato · $1.0K net·3 wallets·$1.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCarlo Alberto Caniato$1.9K@ 40¢·0xNuttawut

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$904
6h
−$3.8K
tracked
$4.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: Carlo Alberto Caniato · $1.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Taranto, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Philip Henning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Philip Henning DOWN 8.0pp · near-book depth $369 → $29.4K · 42s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philip Henning; negative values favor Carlo Alberto Caniato. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCarlo Alberto Caniato · $904
6hCarlo Alberto Caniato · $3.8K
24hCarlo Alberto Caniato · $3.8K

Philip Henning price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philip Henning price. Carlo Alberto Caniato fills are converted to the complementary Philip Henning probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h66.74¢▼ below by 17.2pp
VWAP 7d66.74¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philip Henning price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$821
75¢
$97
70¢
$1.1K
65¢
$146
60¢
$1.9K
55¢
$81
50¢
$71
45¢
← now
$306
40¢
$3
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Philip Henning (-1.5) vs Carlo Alberto Caniato (+1.5)
0.45¢$6priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Henning vs. Caniato: Match O/U 22.5
99.55¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Henning vs. Caniato: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Henning vs. Caniato: Match O/U 23.5
99.55¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Henning vs. Caniato: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Carlo Alberto Caniato (-0.5) vs Philip Henning (+0.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Philip Henning vs. Carlo Alberto Caniato: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Henning vs. Caniato: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.