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Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado

● quote 575 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $138.4KEvent: Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado

Indicative prices · 575 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

12.0¢
Gustavo Heide
99.9¢
Juan Carlos Prado
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets49Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:85 trades$31.1K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 596 min agoofficial metadata 579 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Juan Carlos Prado · $2.6K net·7 wallets·$5.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJuan Carlos Prado$4.8K@ 63¢·MadridTime

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$31.1K

7 verified profitable wallets: Juan Carlos Prado · $2.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote is 575 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 596 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 579 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gustavo Heide and Juan Carlos Prado in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gustavo Heide' if Gustavo Heide advances against Juan Carlos Prado. This market will resolve to 'Juan Carlos Prado' if Juan Carlos Prado advances against Gustavo Heide. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Juan Carlos Prado UP 10.5pp · near-book depth $390 → $2.1K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gustavo Heide; negative values favor Juan Carlos Prado. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGustavo Heide · $0
6hGustavo Heide · $0
24hJuan Carlos Prado · $2.6K

Gustavo Heide price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gustavo Heide price. Juan Carlos Prado fills are converted to the complementary Gustavo Heide probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current12.0¢
VWAP 24h36.33¢▼ below by 24.3pp
VWAP 7d36.33¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gustavo Heide price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$140
60¢
$150
55¢
$4.6K
50¢
$4.3K
45¢
$1.5K
40¢
$11
35¢
$4.8K
30¢
$6.3K
25¢
$407
20¢
$5.3K
15¢
$2.4K
10¢
← now
$60
5¢
$23
0¢
$1.2K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.