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Florida State vs. Pittsburgh

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: 6 minutesLiquidity: $286.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $153.3KEvent: Florida State vs. Pittsburgh

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

41.5¢
Florida State
58.5¢
Pittsburgh
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection29Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets6Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:30 trades$85.7K trackedsource coverage 56%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPittsburgh$12.6K@ 62¢·Pwaddler

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Pittsburgh pressure: $24.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$24.8K
6h
−$32.9K
tracked
$85.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Pittsburgh · $1.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 53

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Pittsburgh or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-14 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Pittsburgh, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh2 linked markets · $30.0K gross
SDTrading3 linked markets · $10.9K gross
lightotunnel352 linked markets · $5.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Pittsburgh@ 59.0¢43m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Florida State; negative values favor Pittsburgh. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPittsburgh · $24.8K
6hPittsburgh · $32.9K
24hPittsburgh · $43.0K

Florida State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Florida State price. Pittsburgh fills are converted to the complementary Florida State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h39.99¢▲ above by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d39.67¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Florida State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$59.4K
35¢
$42.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPittsburgh$12.6K@ 62.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—1 day ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Pittsburgh (-3.5)
45.5¢$38.4Kpriority69Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 53.5
46.5¢$19.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 51.5
51.5¢$14.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pittsburgh (-2.5)
54.5¢$5.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 39.5
80.0¢$4.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pittsburgh (-4.5)
43.5¢$3.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pittsburgh (-5.5)
41.5¢$3.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Florida State (-10.5)
15.5¢$2.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MastermoneyPittsburgh$50.2K
BUY VWAP 60.82¢·9 fills
PwaddlerPittsburgh$16.2K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.