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Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.2KEvent: Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

11.5¢
Sacramento State
88.5¢
Central Michigan
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%
24h sample:8 trades$1.9K trackedsource coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 573 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCentral Michigan$1.9K@ 90¢·0x8956…9666

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$1.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 573 minutes old.
  • •Less than 8h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacramento State win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Central Michigan" if Central Michigan win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Sacramento State and Central Michigan, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacramento State win the game. This market will resolve to "Central Michigan" if Central Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi4 linked markets · $2.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sacramento State; negative values favor Central Michigan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSacramento State · $0
6hSacramento State · $0
24hCentral Michigan · $1.8K

Sacramento State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sacramento State price. Central Michigan fills are converted to the complementary Sacramento State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current11.5¢
VWAP 24h10.04¢▲ above by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d10.04¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sacramento State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$1.9K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan: O/U 43.5
47.5¢$27.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan: O/U 45.5
40.5¢$5.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Central Michigan (-15.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan: O/U 41.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Sacramento State (-5.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan: O/U 75.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Central Michigan (-27.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan: O/U 71.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.