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Ohio vs. Miami (OH)

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $366.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $86.9KEvent: Ohio vs. Miami (OH)

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

51.5¢
Ohio
48.5¢
Miami (OH)
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%
24h sample:28 trades$39.8K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 41 min agoofficial metadata just now
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOhio$19.0K@ 52¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Miami (OH) pressure: $7.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.5K
6h
+$20.2K
tracked
$39.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 41 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Miami (OH) or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ohio" if Ohio win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Miami (OH)" if Miami (OH) win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Ohio and Miami (OH), originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Ohio" if Ohio win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami (OH)" if Miami (OH) win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi4 linked markets · $13.9K gross
FeedTheBigBird2 linked markets · $12.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Ohio@ 52.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ohio; negative values favor Miami (OH). Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami (OH) · $7.5K
6hOhio · $20.2K
24hOhio · $22.6K

Ohio price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ohio price. Miami (OH) fills are converted to the complementary Ohio probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h51.58¢▼ below by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d51.58¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ohio price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$39.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOhio$19.0K@ 51.99¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Ohio (-1.5)
48.5¢$68.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 45.5
55.5¢$15.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Miami (OH) (-2.5)
44.5¢$5.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Ohio (-2.5)
—$247priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Miami (OH) (-1.5)
—$95priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Miami (OH) (-5.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Ohio (-0.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 49.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaOhio$20.6K
BUY VWAP 51.91¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.