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Spread: Rangers (-1.5)

● quote 18s ago
Sports→HockeyCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $55.3KEvent: Blues vs. Rangers

Indicative prices · 18s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

31.5¢
Rangers
68.5¢
Blues
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:2 trades$13.9K tracked50% 🐋source coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 102 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBlues$12.9K@ 69¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$13.9K
tracked
$13.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: Blues · $12.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Observed tape is 102 minutes old.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Rangers" if the Rangers win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Blues".

Read full resolution rules

In the NHL game, scheduled for November 3 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rangers" if the Rangers win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Blues". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $32.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rangers; negative values favor Blues. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRangers · $0
6hBlues · $13.9K
24hBlues · $13.9K

Rangers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rangers price. Blues fills are converted to the complementary Rangers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current31.5¢
VWAP 24h31.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d31.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rangers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$13.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBlues$12.9K@ 69.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Blues vs. Rangers
46.5¢$90.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Blues vs. Rangers: O/U 9.5
—$0priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
—$0priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rangers (-2.5)
—$0priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rangers (-3.5)
—$0priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Blues vs. Rangers: O/U 2.5
—$0priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Blues vs. Rangers: O/U 3.5
—$0priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Blues vs. Rangers: O/U 8.5
—$0priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Blues$12.9K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.