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Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)

● quote 1015 min ago
Sports→HockeyCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.2KEvent: Golden Knights vs. Bruins

Indicative prices · 1015 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

28.5¢
Golden Knights
71.5¢
Bruins
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1 trades$5.7K trackedsource coverage 62%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 76 min agoofficial metadata 14s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBruins$5.7K@ 71¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$5.7K
tracked
$5.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Bruins · $5.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 1015 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 76 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Golden Knights" if the Golden Knights win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bruins".

Read full resolution rules

In the NHL game, scheduled for November 2 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Golden Knights" if the Golden Knights win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bruins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $41.6K gross
0xf276…7b1e2 linked markets · $5 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Golden Knights; negative values favor Bruins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGolden Knights · $0
6hBruins · $5.7K
24hBruins · $5.7K

Golden Knights price VWAP

Volume-weighted Golden Knights price. Bruins fills are converted to the complementary Golden Knights probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current28.5¢
VWAP 24h29.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d29.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Golden Knights price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
← now
$5.7K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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17.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Golden Knights vs. Bruins: O/U 2.5
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Golden Knights vs. Bruins: O/U 8.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.