PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Games Total: O/U 4.5

● quote 353 min ago
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 12 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $128Event: LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Indicative prices · 353 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

26.5¢
Over
73.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%
24h sample:2 trades$14 trackedsource coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 76 min agoofficial metadata 1784 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$13
tracked
$14

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 353 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 76 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 1784 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if Karmine Corp and T1 play 5 or more games in this series.

•If fewer than 5 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and T1 in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Karmine Corp and T1 play 5 or more games in this series. If fewer than 5 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fantasy77883 linked markets · $102.6K gross
skadii3 linked markets · $92.4K gross
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $92.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $0
6hUnder · $13
24hUnder · $14

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current26.5¢
VWAP 24h26.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d26.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
← now
$14
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
17.5¢$275.2Kpriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
65.5¢$242.8Kpriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)
34.5¢$149.6Kpriority35Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
62.5¢$29.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
30.5¢$16.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
—$114priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
—$99priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
30.5¢$56priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.