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UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)

● quote just now
Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $484.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $99.4KEvent: UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

40.5¢
Amanda Nunes
59.5¢
Kayla Harrison
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:34 trades$41.2K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kayla Harrison · $4.2K net·4 wallets·$4.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKayla Harrison$32.0K@ 61¢·sabghm

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Kayla Harrison pressure: $4.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.5K
6h
−$38.3K
tracked
$41.2K

4 verified profitable wallets: Kayla Harrison · $4.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Kayla Harrison or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 04:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Amanda Nunes" if Amanda Nunes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kayla Harrison at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Kayla Harrison" if Kayla Harrison is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Amanda Nunes" if Amanda Nunes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kayla Harrison at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Kayla Harrison" if Kayla Harrison is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Kayla Harrison@ 61.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Amanda Nunes; negative values favor Kayla Harrison. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKayla Harrison · $4.5K
6hKayla Harrison · $38.3K
24hKayla Harrison · $35.8K

Amanda Nunes price VWAP

Volume-weighted Amanda Nunes price. Kayla Harrison fills are converted to the complementary Amanda Nunes probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current40.5¢
VWAP 24h39.12¢▲ above by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d38.98¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Amanda Nunes price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$4.7K
35¢
$42.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKayla Harrison$32.0K@ 61.0¢
sabghm0xd6fb…954a
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

sabghmKayla Harrison$33.9K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.