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Set 2 Winner: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.2KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart

Polymarket indicative prices · 1 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

66.0¢
Lilli Tagger
34.0¢
Harriet Dart
—
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%
24h sample:1 trades$1.2K trackedsource coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLilli Tagger$1.2K@ 59¢·0xb4f9…0b71

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Lilli Tagger pressure: $1.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.2K
6h
+$1.2K
tracked
$1.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Lilli Tagger or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 08:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Lilli Tagger” if Lilli Tagger wins set 2. It will resolve to “Harriet Dart” if Harriet Dart wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Harriet Dart in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Lilli Tagger” if Lilli Tagger wins set 2. It will resolve to “Harriet Dart” if Harriet Dart wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x73a4…40072 linked markets · $262 gross
0xe121…84da2 linked markets · $6 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lilli Tagger; negative values favor Harriet Dart. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLilli Tagger · $1.2K
6hLilli Tagger · $1.2K
24hLilli Tagger · $1.2K

Lilli Tagger price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lilli Tagger price. Harriet Dart fills are converted to the complementary Lilli Tagger probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current66.0¢
VWAP 24h59.4¢▲ above by 6.6pp
VWAP 7d59.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lilli Tagger price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.2K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart
85.5¢$240.9Kpriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Lilli Tagger (-1.5) vs Harriet Dart (+1.5)
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Game Spread: Lilli Tagger (-4.5) vs Harriet Dart (+4.5)
50.0¢$455priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lilli Tagger vs. Harriet Dart: Total Sets O/U 2.5
36.0¢$74priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Dart: Match O/U 21.5
59.0¢$52priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Dart: Match O/U 23.5
34.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Dart: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
99.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Dart: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.