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Set Handicap: Katie Boulter (-1.5) vs Viktorija Golubic (+1.5)

● quote 190 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $288Event: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter

Indicative prices · 190 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Katie Boulter
—
Viktorija Golubic.
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%
24h sample:1 trades$2 trackedsource coverage 1%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 145 min agoofficial metadata 161 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$2
tracked
$2

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 1%.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Katie Boulter" if Katie Boulter wins by 2 or more sets than Viktorija Golubic, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Viktorija Golubic."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Katie Boulter can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Viktorija Golubic."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Boulter and Viktorija Golubic in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Katie Boulter" if Katie Boulter wins by 2 or more sets than Viktorija Golubic, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Viktorija Golubic." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Katie Boulter can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Viktorija Golubic." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xae51…1d032 linked markets · $117 gross
0x0000…f6472 linked markets · $20 gross
0x7a55…9e6b2 linked markets · $6 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Katie Boulter; negative values favor Viktorija Golubic.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKatie Boulter · $0
6hViktorija Golubic. · $2
24hViktorija Golubic. · $2

Katie Boulter price VWAP

Volume-weighted Katie Boulter price. Viktorija Golubic. fills are converted to the complementary Katie Boulter probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h99.0¢
VWAP 7d99.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Katie Boulter price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$2
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.