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Spread: 76ers (-3.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: 76ersLiquidity: $275.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $146.3KEvent: 76ers vs. Hornets
100.0¢
76ers payout
0.0¢
Hornets payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:31 trades$60.2K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 58%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 603 min agoofficial metadata 572 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:76ers · $278 net·6 wallets·$561 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELL76ers$30.2K@ 100¢·big8betz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome 76ers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-31 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "76ers" if the 76ers win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Hornets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 31 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "76ers" if the 76ers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 10h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 10h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
googleplay4 linked markets · $608.6K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $191.6K gross
big8betz2 linked markets · $132.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Hornets DOWN 28.0pp · near-book depth $13 → $31 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 76ers; negative values favor Hornets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHornets · $29.9K
6hHornets · $6.1K
24hHornets · $9.8K

76ers price VWAP

Volume-weighted 76ers price. Hornets fills are converted to the complementary 76ers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h71.79¢▲ above by 28.2pp
VWAP 7d71.79¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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76ers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$30.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$108
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2
55¢
$1.3K
50¢
$49
45¢
$539
40¢
$27.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$98
25¢
$85
20¢
$0
15¢
$4
10¢
$18
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELL76ers$30.2K@ 99.9¢
big8betz0xbfd4…526f
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUY76ers$10.0K@ 43.37¢
big8betz0xbfd4…526f
🐋—about 13 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

big8betz76ers$19.9K
BUY VWAP 43.33¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.