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Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: Trail BlazersLiquidity: $27.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $198.9KEvent: Trail Blazers vs. Jazz
100.0¢
Trail Blazers payout
0.0¢
Jazz payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:51 trades$88.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 984 min agoofficial metadata 854 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jazz · $17.8K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$21.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJazz$27.5K@ 57¢·ch27er

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Trail Blazers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-31 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Trail Blazers" if the Trail Blazers win the game by 9 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Jazz". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Jazz".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 31 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Trail Blazers" if the Trail Blazers win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Jazz". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Jazz". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 14h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 14h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
maz264 linked markets · $73.7K gross
ferrariChampions20265 linked markets · $70.1K gross
HomeRunHazard10 linked markets · $53.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Jazz@ 57.0¢17h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -30.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Jazz@ 56.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Jazz UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $733 → $35 · 28s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Trail Blazers; negative values favor Jazz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTrail Blazers · $0
6hJazz · $48.5K
24hJazz · $52.9K

Trail Blazers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Trail Blazers price. Jazz fills are converted to the complementary Trail Blazers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h45.47¢▲ above by 54.5pp
VWAP 7d45.47¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Trail Blazers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$25
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$10
55¢
$0
50¢
$15.6K
45¢
$30.0K
40¢
$42.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJazz$27.5K@ 57.0¢
ch27er0x61a3…e508
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYJazz$12.7K@ 54.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 18 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ch27erJazz$27.5K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Jazz$19.6K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.