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Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jaume Munar

● quote 911 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $349.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $118.5KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jaume Munar

Indicative prices · 911 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Lorenzo Sonego
0.1¢
Jaume Munar
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:50 trades$30.3K trackedsource coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 974 min agoofficial metadata 920 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jaume Munar · $3.7K net·6 wallets·$3.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLorenzo Sonego$9.3K@ 80¢·unknownloser1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$30.3K

6 verified profitable wallets: Jaume Munar · $3.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 911 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 974 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 920 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Jaume Munar in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Jaume Munar. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Lorenzo Sonego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Jaume Munar UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $80 → $8.4K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lorenzo Sonego; negative values favor Jaume Munar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLorenzo Sonego · $0
6hLorenzo Sonego · $0
24hJaume Munar · $13.9K

Lorenzo Sonego price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lorenzo Sonego price. Jaume Munar fills are converted to the complementary Lorenzo Sonego probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h61.36¢▲ above by 38.5pp
VWAP 7d61.34¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lorenzo Sonego price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.6K
90¢
$15
85¢
$475
80¢
$10.4K
75¢
$602
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.0K
45¢
$350
40¢
$3.8K
35¢
$3.6K
30¢
$4.6K
25¢
$712
20¢
$26
15¢
$66
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.