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Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic

● quote 1155 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $747.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $209.9KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Indicative prices · 1155 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
James Duckworth
99.95¢
Miomir Kecmanovic
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets45Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:65 trades$80.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1180 min agoofficial metadata 1159 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Miomir Kecmanovic · $4.1K net·4 wallets·$9.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMiomir Kecmanovic$21.4K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$80.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: Miomir Kecmanovic · $4.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 1155 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 1180 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 1159 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between James Duckworth and Miomir Kecmanovic in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against James Duckworth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Miomir Kecmanovic UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $99.0K → $8.2K · 34s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor James Duckworth; negative values favor Miomir Kecmanovic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJames Duckworth · $0
6hJames Duckworth · $0
24hJames Duckworth · $18.6K

James Duckworth price VWAP

Volume-weighted James Duckworth price. Miomir Kecmanovic fills are converted to the complementary James Duckworth probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h25.43¢▼ below by 25.4pp
VWAP 7d25.43¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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James Duckworth price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$11.5K
50¢
$6.0K
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$6.5K
35¢
$114
30¢
$2.9K
25¢
$15.7K
20¢
$5.1K
15¢
$3.2K
10¢
$2.5K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$25.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMiomir Kecmanovic$21.4K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 20 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

redvinnyMiomir Kecmanovic$10.7K
BUY VWAP 71.95¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.