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Bucks vs. Knicks

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $269.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $271.7KEvent: Bucks vs. Knicks

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

10.5¢
Bucks
89.5¢
Knicks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly3Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:175 trades$115.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKnicks$44.7K@ 91¢·winner877

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$106
6h
−$85.8K
tracked
$115.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: Bucks · $2 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks".

•If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Bucks and Knicks, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
JoeyAroyyOO3 linked markets · $67.9K gross
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh3 linked markets · $18.1K gross
ComingBack3 linked markets · $12.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Knicks@ 91.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bucks; negative values favor Knicks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBucks · $106
6hKnicks · $85.8K
24hKnicks · $108.1K

Bucks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bucks price. Knicks fills are converted to the complementary Bucks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current10.5¢
VWAP 24h9.37¢▲ above by 1.1pp
VWAP 7d9.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bucks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$13
10¢
← now
$26.6K
5¢
$90.1K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKnicks$44.7K@ 91.0¢
winner8770x85e5…6056
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKnicks$11.7K@ 91.0¢
winner8770x85e5…6056
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKnicks$15.1K@ 90.1¢
winner8770x85e5…6056
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
48.5¢$147.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
51.5¢$41.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
49.5¢$41.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5
46.5¢$14.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5
54.0¢$9.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
53.5¢$6.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)
—$3.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
—$1.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

winner877Knicks$71.5K
BUY VWAP 90.81¢·3 fills
fvckjumpjanesKnicks$12.8K
BUY VWAP 90.71¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.