Magic vs. Suns

● quote just now

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 10 hoursLiquidity: $203.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $239.6KEvent: Magic vs. Suns

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

48.5¢

Magic

51.5¢

Suns

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly98Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:56 trades$104.9K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Magic · $20.5K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$20.5K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMagic$73.4K@ 48¢·mooseborzoi

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

Suns pressure: $3.0K net directional flow in 1h.

−$3.0K

+$89.9K

tracked

$104.9K

4 verified profitable wallets: Magic · $20.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest whale follow through: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
•Less than 10h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Suns or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-06 02:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic".

•If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Magic and Suns, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $73.8K gross

QWUERHAIUKSJNFSNCF2 linked markets · $305 gross

0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $17 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Magic@ 49.0¢1h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

LARGE FLOWBUY Magic@ 48.0¢2h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Magic; negative values favor Suns. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hSuns · $3.0K

6hMagic · $89.9K

24hMagic · $90.3K

Magic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Magic price. Suns fills are converted to the complementary Magic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current48.5¢

VWAP 24h48.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp

VWAP 7d48.0¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Magic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

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55¢