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Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils

Sports→TennisSettlement: Taylor FritzLiquidity: $367.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $741.9KEvent: Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils
100.0¢
Taylor Fritz payout
0.0¢
Arthur Fils payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:174 trades$299.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 45 min agoofficial metadata 36 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Taylor Fritz · $7.0K net·11 wallets·$32.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTaylor Fritz$44.2K@ 97¢·HVAB

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Taylor Fritz. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-06 14:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Arthur Fils in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 37m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 37m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
tsy8sting2 linked markets · $1.4K gross
0x8f97…cd522 linked markets · $21 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Arthur Fils DOWN 8.0pp · near-book depth $193 → $926 · 15s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Taylor Fritz; negative values favor Arthur Fils. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTaylor Fritz · $9.1K
6hTaylor Fritz · $35.2K
24hTaylor Fritz · $33.3K

Taylor Fritz price VWAP

Volume-weighted Taylor Fritz price. Arthur Fils fills are converted to the complementary Taylor Fritz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.4¢▲ above by 20.6pp
VWAP 7d79.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Taylor Fritz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$144.5K
90¢
$13.0K
85¢
$19.2K
80¢
$5.0K
75¢
$9.3K
70¢
$8.0K
65¢
$7.6K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$20.2K
45¢
$67.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$5.2K
30¢
$48
25¢
$434
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTaylor Fritz$34.1K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$26.7K@ 98.34¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$44.2K@ 97.24¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$16.9K@ 49.41¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 1 Winner: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils
—$6.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fritz vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
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Set Handicap: Arthur Fils (-1.5) vs Taylor Fritz (+1.5)
—$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fritz vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fritz vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HVABTaylor Fritz$70.9K
BUY VWAP 97.65¢·2 fills
kkookkooTaylor Fritz$16.9K
BUY VWAP 49.41¢·1 fill
KkunnArthur Fils$12.2K
BUY VWAP 36.79¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesTaylor Fritz$10.3K
BUY VWAP 90.75¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.