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Brest: Martin Damm vs Clement Tabur

● quote 963 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $274.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $232.8KEvent: Brest: Martin Damm vs Clement Tabur

Indicative prices · 963 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Martin Damm
3.0¢
Clement Tabur
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets48Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:63 trades$93.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 979 min agoofficial metadata 963 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Martin Damm · $14.2K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$19.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMartin Damm$14.8K@ 79¢·Vps1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$93.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: Martin Damm · $14.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 963 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 979 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 963 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-06 14:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Clement Tabur in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Clement Tabur. This market will resolve to 'Clement Tabur' if Clement Tabur advances against Martin Damm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Martin Damm UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $11.6K → $2.4K · 70s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Martin Damm; negative values favor Clement Tabur. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMartin Damm · $0
6hMartin Damm · $0
24hMartin Damm · $25.2K

Martin Damm price VWAP

Volume-weighted Martin Damm price. Clement Tabur fills are converted to the complementary Martin Damm probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h75.51¢▲ above by 24.4pp
VWAP 7d75.51¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Martin Damm price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.5K
90¢
$2.1K
85¢
$13.5K
80¢
$75
75¢
$42.4K
70¢
$4.3K
65¢
$4.1K
60¢
$2.6K
55¢
$8.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$9.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMartin Damm$14.8K@ 78.99¢
Vps10xb2d2…3910
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYMartin Damm$13.5K@ 88.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 17 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Martin Damm (-1.5) vs Clement Tabur (+1.5)
—$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Damm vs. Tabur: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Damm vs. Tabur: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Damm vs. Tabur: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Martin Damm vs. Clement Tabur: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Martin Damm vs Clement Tabur
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider
—$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
18.5¢$878.9Kpriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Vps1Martin Damm$14.8K
BUY VWAP 78.99¢·1 fill
FlaznorpMartin Damm$13.5K
BUY VWAP 87.94¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesClement Tabur$10.7K
BUY VWAP 23.20¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesMartin Damm$10.5K
BUY VWAP 72.59¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.