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Game Spread: Kaitlin Quevedo (-1.5) vs Jil Teichmann (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.0KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann

Polymarket indicative prices · 17s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Kaitlin Quevedo
0.05¢
Jil Teichmann
—
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%
24h sample:2 trades$25 trackedsource coverage 1%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 26 min agoofficial metadata 17s ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$5
6h
+$25
tracked
$25

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 1%.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-06 06:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kaitlin Quevedo" if Kaitlin Quevedo wins 1.5 or more total games than Jil Teichmann in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Jil Teichmann".

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Kaitlin Quevedo could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Jil Teichmann".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Kaitlin Quevedo" if Kaitlin Quevedo wins 1.5 or more total games than Jil Teichmann in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Jil Teichmann". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Kaitlin Quevedo could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Jil Teichmann". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc1d7…47a42 linked markets · $254 gross
0x93dc…37282 linked markets · $35 gross
0x5890…dbc14 linked markets · $19 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kaitlin Quevedo; negative values favor Jil Teichmann. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaitlin Quevedo · $5
6hKaitlin Quevedo · $25
24hKaitlin Quevedo · $25

Kaitlin Quevedo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kaitlin Quevedo price. Jil Teichmann fills are converted to the complementary Kaitlin Quevedo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h62.94¢▲ above by 37.0pp
VWAP 7d62.94¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kaitlin Quevedo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$20
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann
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Set Handicap: Kaitlin Quevedo (-1.5) vs Jil Teichmann (+1.5)
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Quevedo vs. Teichmann: Match O/U 22.5
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Quevedo vs. Teichmann: Match O/U 23.5
0.05¢$7priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kaitlin Quevedo vs. Jil Teichmann: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.05¢$4priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Quevedo vs. Teichmann: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Quevedo vs. Teichmann: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.