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Set 2 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $4.0KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Xinran Sun
—
Claire Liu
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%
24h sample:8 trades$421 trackedsource coverage 10%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 67 min agoofficial metadata 41 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$315
tracked
$421

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 67 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-06 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Xinran Sun” if Xinran Sun wins set 2. It will resolve to “Claire Liu” if Claire Liu wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Xinran Sun and Claire Liu in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Xinran Sun” if Xinran Sun wins set 2. It will resolve to “Claire Liu” if Claire Liu wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $9.8K gross
0xf12f…b30f2 linked markets · $3.7K gross
0xfb57…67192 linked markets · $235 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Xinran Sun; negative values favor Claire Liu. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hXinran Sun · $0
6hXinran Sun · $315
24hXinran Sun · $315

Xinran Sun price VWAP

Volume-weighted Xinran Sun price. Claire Liu fills are converted to the complementary Xinran Sun probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h49.28¢
VWAP 7d49.28¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Xinran Sun price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$43
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$84
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$260
35¢
$24
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$10
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu
—$660.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Claire Liu (-3.5) vs Xinran Sun (+3.5)
—$928priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Xinran Sun (-1.5) vs Claire Liu (+1.5)
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Xinran Sun vs. Claire Liu: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Sun vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider
—$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.