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Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $16.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $177.1KEvent: Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

59.05¢
Emilio Camacho
40.95¢
Joao Lucas Da Silva
1.9¢
Spread
anomaly3Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets59Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:99 trades$50.5K trackedsource coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Joao Lucas Da Silva · $20.6K net·9 wallets·$34.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJoao Lucas Da Silva$10.0K@ 84¢·Flaznorp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$1.6K
tracked
$50.5K

9 verified profitable wallets: Joao Lucas Da Silva · $20.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.9¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Emilio Camacho and Joao Lucas Da Silva in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emilio Camacho' if Emilio Camacho advances against Joao Lucas Da Silva. This market will resolve to 'Joao Lucas Da Silva' if Joao Lucas Da Silva advances against Emilio Camacho. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Emilio Camacho UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $24.8K → $11.2K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Emilio Camacho; negative values favor Joao Lucas Da Silva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEmilio Camacho · $1
6hJoao Lucas Da Silva · $1.6K
24hJoao Lucas Da Silva · $22.3K

Emilio Camacho price VWAP

Volume-weighted Emilio Camacho price. Joao Lucas Da Silva fills are converted to the complementary Emilio Camacho probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current59.05¢
VWAP 24h31.53¢▲ above by 27.5pp
VWAP 7d31.53¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Emilio Camacho price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.4K
55¢
← now
$13.3K
50¢
$127
45¢
$2.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.9K
25¢
$2.9K
20¢
$129
15¢
$24.0K
10¢
$3.3K
5¢
$52
0¢
$441

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Joao Lucas Da Silva (-7.5) vs Emilio Camacho (+7.5)
50.0¢$74priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Camacho vs. Silva: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
55.0¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Emilio Camacho (-1.5) vs Joao Lucas Da Silva (+1.5)
50.0¢$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Emilio Camacho vs. Joao Lucas Da Silva: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Camacho vs. Silva: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Camacho vs. Silva: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Camacho vs. Silva: Match O/U 21.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpJoao Lucas Da Silva$10.8K
BUY VWAP 83.25¢·11 fills
0x1610…ae49Joao Lucas Da Silva$10.5K
BUY VWAP 41.03¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.