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England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka

● quote 891 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $80.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $269.0KEvent: England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka

Indicative prices · 891 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Pakistan
0.1¢
Sri Lanka
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets59Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution27Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:100 trades$84.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 910 min agoofficial metadata 887 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pakistan · $7.6K net·7 wallets·$12.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPakistan$10.0K@ 84¢·0x01af…7bc2

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$84.7K

7 verified profitable wallets: Pakistan · $7.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 891 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 910 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 887 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between Pakistan and Sri Lanka scheduled for October 31 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Pakistan UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $21.0K → $942 · 24s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pakistan; negative values favor Sri Lanka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPakistan · $0
6hPakistan · $0
24hPakistan · $17.1K

Pakistan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pakistan price. Sri Lanka fills are converted to the complementary Pakistan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h79.38¢▲ above by 20.5pp
VWAP 7d78.64¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pakistan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$29.0K
90¢
$7.5K
85¢
$0
80¢
$15.1K
75¢
$9.9K
70¢
$637
65¢
$1.6K
60¢
$4.5K
55¢
$2.9K
50¢
$4.3K
45¢
$3.0K
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$9.0K
30¢
$44
25¢
$3
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPakistan$10.0K@ 84.0¢0x01af…7bc2🐋—about 18 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

midwicket72Sri Lanka$11.7K
BUY VWAP 47.63¢·6 fills
0x01af…7bc2Pakistan$10.0K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.