PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)

● quote 10s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 12 hoursLiquidity: $55.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $107.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs

Indicative prices · 10s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

54.5¢
Eternal Fire
45.5¢
Team Nemesis
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:46 trades$38.2K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 39s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Eternal Fire · $1.1K net·2 wallets·$1.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEternal Fire$6.7K@ 57¢·WordleAddict

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Eternal Fire SETUP
What the tape says

Eternal Fire pressure: $4.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.8K
6h
−$375
tracked
$38.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: Eternal Fire · $1.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 60

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 12h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Eternal Fire or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire wins 2 or more maps than Team Nemesis in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Nemesis".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Nemesis and Eternal Fire in the Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire wins 2 or more maps than Team Nemesis in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Nemesis". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 28, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc9bf…81c04 linked markets · $15.5K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $559 gross
0xfffe…4e6c2 linked markets · $105 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Eternal Fire; negative values favor Team Nemesis. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEternal Fire · $4.8K
6hTeam Nemesis · $375
24hEternal Fire · $3.2K

Eternal Fire price VWAP

Volume-weighted Eternal Fire price. Team Nemesis fills are converted to the complementary Eternal Fire probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h60.08¢▼ below by 5.6pp
VWAP 7d60.08¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Eternal Fire price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$9.4K
60¢
$2.9K
55¢
$22.8K
50¢
← now
$3.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
16.5¢$37.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
39.0¢$11.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xc9bf…81c0Team Nemesis$11.5K
BUY VWAP 38.73¢·12 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.