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Guangzhou Open: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo

● quote 11s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $635.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $413.4KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo

Indicative prices · 11s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Anna Bondar
99.95¢
Kaitlin Quevedo
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets21Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:185 trades$157.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kaitlin Quevedo · $3.6K net·14 wallets·$16.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAnna Bondar$13.4K@ 52¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Anna Bondar pressure: $20.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$20.1K
6h
+$15.4K
tracked
$157.8K

14 verified profitable wallets: Kaitlin Quevedo · $3.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -51.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Anna Bondar or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Bondar and Kaitlin Quevedo in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Bondar' if Anna Bondar advances against Kaitlin Quevedo. This market will resolve to 'Kaitlin Quevedo' if Kaitlin Quevedo advances against Anna Bondar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $343 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Anna Bondar@ 52.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -21.0pp
Latest book event: Kaitlin Quevedo DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $3.2K → $70.0K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Anna Bondar; negative values favor Kaitlin Quevedo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAnna Bondar · $20.1K
6hAnna Bondar · $15.4K
24hAnna Bondar · $13.6K

Anna Bondar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Anna Bondar price. Kaitlin Quevedo fills are converted to the complementary Anna Bondar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h29.94¢▼ below by 29.9pp
VWAP 7d29.95¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Anna Bondar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$3.8K
50¢
$44.1K
45¢
$35.0K
40¢
$1.4K
35¢
$3.7K
30¢
$2.2K
25¢
$4.2K
20¢
$0
15¢
$2.2K
10¢
$141
5¢
$12.2K
0¢
← now
$48.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKaitlin Quevedo$10.6K@ 99.9¢
alaskabaked0xaa77…15a5
🐋—13 minutes ago
SELLKaitlin Quevedo$11.3K@ 99.9¢
Illiasca0xc0a5…1f5f
🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYAnna Bondar$13.4K@ 51.86¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Bondar vs. Quevedo: Match O/U 23.5
—$1.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bondar vs. Quevedo: Match O/U 21.5
—$1.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bondar vs. Quevedo: Match O/U 22.5
—$1.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo
—$582priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Anna Bondar vs. Kaitlin Quevedo: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$234priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bondar vs. Quevedo: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bondar vs. Quevedo: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Anna Bondar (-1.5) vs Kaitlin Quevedo (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooAnna Bondar$21.4K
BUY VWAP 52.09¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesKaitlin Quevedo$21.3K
BUY VWAP 61.23¢·13 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.